How will AI change gardening?
Artificial Intelligence is here, and it’s already shaping the way we garden. Should we be worried? Or should we embrace the most momentous technological innovation since the Industrial Revolution?
With its cascade of blush-pink flowers offset by a verdant halo of foliage, it was certainly a plant that stood out. But for RHS botanist Dr Jordan Bilsborrow, when he saw the picture of a weeping begonia it just felt… wrong. Jordan is part of the RHS Horticultural Advice Team, so identifying obscure plants and, on occasion, even hand-drawn illustrations sent in by members, is just another day in the office. But this begonia? This was different.
The image had pinged into his inbox on a typical spring day at RHS Garden Wisley, submitted by a bewildered RHS member. What is this begonia, they asked; their mother would really love one, they added; but they’d been unable to track one down anywhere. “Initially I thought that there’s no way that’s real. It looked too… weird. Too good to be true,” says Jordan. “The leaves weren’t right for a begonia, for a start, and the inflorescence definitely wasn’t right. I showed my colleague, RHS Botanist Saskia Harris, and we agreed.” Could it be possible that this RHS member had somehow stumbled upon a new species? Or was there something altogether more sinister afoot? The pair then approached US begonia expert Mark Tebbitt, who said the inflorescence on the mystery begonia looked more like that of a flowering cherry stuck onto a strawberry plant. One thing was definitive: this was no begonia.
“Firstly, begonias have tubers, not bulbs,” says Jordan. He scouted around the website, clicking on other cultivars that were equally eyecatching and obscure. “There was a bright blue one; others had flowers that seemed to be dangling from fishing wire. It was not the sort of site you’d normally buy plants from.” Jordan’s instinct proved correct. The too-good-to-be-true begonia was just that. According to fact-checking website Snopes.com it was a scam. But more than that, these images of fabulous new plants, realistic enough to intrigue experts on either side of the Atlantic, had not been produced by human hand at all, but by artificial intelligence (AI). And they’re not the only ones.
You’ll most likely have encountered AI chatbots such as ChatGPT, and heard how they can churn out essays in seconds, books in just minutes, and answer people’s queries about everything from flight times to the future of humanity. But AI is also being used as a force for good, for myriad purposes in myriad fields. Not least, believe it or not, in gardening. Soon enough, AI will be having a tangible impact not just on the horticulture industry, but even in domestic gardens, and in countless ways we can hardly imagine. The fact is, AI isn’t a future concern for our gardens any longer – it’s already here.
“AI is really good at making things more efficient; it could remove the frictions of the horticulture industry. For example, an RHS scientist might take many months to crunch through test data, but with the assistance of AI they could do it in a fraction of the time. Does that just incrementally improve the industry, or does it unlock new opportunities?” Needless to say, for Daniel and his colleagues, it is very much the latter.
“Generative AI, like ChatGPT, is really good at knowing things about the world,” says Daniel. “It can identify a plant, the health of it, its history and what you can do to improve it. The next iteration of AI will be able to act on your behalf via a connected, smart environment that’s making decisions for you. It will be able to improve the health of a plant by analysing the soil it sits in and be able to then change the nutrients and watering plans to maximise effectiveness. This sort of AI could open up gardening to many more people who don’t have the knowledge or time to learn or maintain their space.”
“On The Avanade Intelligent Garden, we’ll use sensors to monitor individual tree health and use an AI tool to feed back information in real time, painting an accurate picture of how that tree is faring in its environment,” says Tom. “We also plan to create digital twins of some of the trees, to predict how they might perform in say 50 or 100 years.” The digital trees will be accessible online, allowing engagement and interaction from visitors to the show and the general public.
When the garden was first announced, it was met with both intrigue and incredulity from a number of well-known garden designers and horticulturists, some of whom publicly questioned the need to bring AI into gardening, and the value of giving this platform to a technology that they fear could put jobs, including Tom’s own, at risk. It begs the question: Why on earth would he do it?
As any artist or designer will tell you, of course, what a computer – crunching, compiling and extrapolating existing data sets – cannot do, is match the imagination, the creative DNA, of a human being. Or can it? Courtesy of US startup company Delphi, anyone, including garden designers, can now turn to AI to create a digital clone of themselves. After being trained on a person’s existing notes, documents, emails, videos, books, voicemails and more, this clone can learn to think like them, make decisions like them, even sound like them. If a designer like Tom Massey or one of his RHS gold medal-winning colleagues were to use it, this digital proxy could offer customers advice on garden design in their style, be available 24 hours a day and even provide ongoing guidance once the human designer has left this mortal coil. That’s right. A garden designer could achieve immortality, albeit in digital form.
In what can only be described as the greatest lonely-hearts story in the history of tech, AI is currently being used to search for a mate for one of the rarest plants on Earth, Encephalartos woodii. This rare cycad is thought to be extinct in the wild, surviving only through clones of a single male specimen in private and botanical collections. No female plant has ever been found. But thanks to drones, multispectral imaging and AI, areas of oNgoye Forest in South Africa, where the male tree was discovered in 1895, are now being scanned for a mate.
“I was captivated by the story of the male E. woodii,” says Dr Laura Cinti, the biologist leading the project at the University of Southampton. “From the air, cycads’ palm-like canopies stand out against the surrounding forest. Our AI models are trained to recognise the unique shapes of cycads in aerial imagery, allowing us to distinguish them from other vegetation, even in dense and complex environments, not accessible on foot. Finding a female E. woodii would be a significant breakthrough for conservation, and the methods we’re using open up possibilities for more efficient and accurate conservation efforts.”
There is, however, a catch. Ironically, one that could have a devastating impact on the very environment AI is being used to protect. Namely, the eye-watering amount of energy and water required to power the growing number of AI data centres as they crunch through increasingly vast amounts of information. Take, for example, a seemingly simple task, like having a back-and-forth with ChatGPT for a typical 10 to 50 responses. To power that interaction alone requires half a litre of water, used to cool banks of servers that process information, according to researchers from the University of Colorado and the University of Texas. It doesn’t sound like much until you discover the chatbot has more than 180 million users. Just one ChatGPT query uses nearly 10 times as much electricity as a Google search, according to the International Energy Agency. As a result, researchers at Goldman Sachs estimate the amount of overall power data centres consume worldwide will rise from 1–2 per cent to 3–4 per cent by the end of the decade, while associated carbon emissions could more than double by 2030.
Annette Giardina, Chief Innovation and Sustainability Officer at Avanade, sponsor of Tom Massey’s RHS Chelsea garden, says: “Sustainability is one of the challenges we face every day because many of the activities we undertake to make the world more sustainable consume the very energy or water we’re trying to save. That’s why at Avanade we talk about responsible AI and, by that, I mean AI which adds benefit, not AI for AI’s sake. It’s not about taking people’s jobs; it’s not about taking the human element out of this – you can’t, and we shouldn’t. It’s about making it easier for people to access data that has meaning; it’s about giving people access to data and insights they wouldn’t necessarily be able to determine without the equipment.”
The sustainability question is certainly giving pause to companies and governments around the world. But what about the other potential casualty in this emerging world? What about us?
“Yes, the issue around scamming and deep fakes is a very real issue that governments need to regulate,” says Daniel. “We also need to educate people to think more critically and there need to be mechanisms in place to authenticate whether something is real or not – such as, for example, watermarking. It might be that you create an expert plant ‘brain’ that can alert you when an image has been AI-generated.” Experts – including Daniel – believe that, far from being replaced by AI, people still have an important role to play. “We’ll start to realise that having a human in the loop is incredibly valuable.”
The RHS Horticultural Advice Team’s begonia sleuth Jordan agrees. “Any AI is only as good as the information being fed into it,” he says. “People are using apps to identify plants instantly; they no longer have to wait for me to get back to them in a day. But whether they’re getting a correct response or not is another thing. So, the information should be treated as guidance, rather than as an absolute.” RHS experts are constantly checking, correcting and adding to the RHS’ AI-powered ChatBotanist service. This chat function draws on a database of more than 200 years of expert knowledge to help answer gardening-related queries. As well as offering tips for how to care for the plants you have, the RHS Grow app also enables you to identify plants using your smartphone’s camera – an increasingly useful and accurate tool with AI at its core. ChatBotanist is also a more sustainable AI tool for horticulture than ChatGPT, as it only trawls relevant pages rather than the entire internet.
It’s a notion that would likely resonate with most gardeners and is one at the core of new Aardman film, Wallace and Gromit: Murder Most Fowl, now nominated for an Oscar in the Best Animated Feature category. In the film, available on BBC iPlayer, Wallace builds Norbot, a ‘smart’ gnome designed to help Gromit in the garden. This latest thing in ‘cutting hedge technology’ is very good at mowing and cutting back and does a mean line in topiary; it even does complete garden makeovers that may or may not be to everyone’s taste.
But, says Wallace and Gromit creator Nick Park, Gromit does things because he loves the activity of actual gardening and the peace it brings. “Wallace’s inventions aren’t bad, they’re just doing unnecessary things and, in this movie, it’s very much about how tech can come between people,” Nick says. “Gromit’s life becoming so automated kind of drives a wedge between him and Wallace. I feel as fixated with tech as the next person, and obviously, AI is making incredibly good advances in many ways,” he adds. “But I think generally, we’re questioning how much it’s just a big distraction for many of us. There’s nothing better than getting on your knees and doing a bit of weeding; it seems good for the soul.”
Just because a computer might contain vast amounts of information about plants and gardening, that doesn’t mean that it will stop us from doing the things we love. “Let’s assume that we do get to the point where an AI is able to garden better than a human, because it has access to all the information and is able to make decisions much more quickly,” says Daniel. “But at what point does it begin to take away the pleasure we get from gardening? You know, AI can play chess better than humans, but there are more people playing chess now than ever before. Right now, AI is an expert in your pocket. Eventually, it can become a decision maker and act in the world. But you’ll still be able to control how much autonomy you want to give the technology. When I talk to people about how AI can ultimately free them up, I’ll often ask what they would do with that spare time. And do you know what the most common response I hear is? ‘I’d spend more time in the garden’.”